U.S. Housing Market in 1964

In 1964, the U.S. housing market recorded new-construction sales of 565K.

Year over year, new-home sales rose 0.9%.

By the numbers — 1964: new-home sales 565K.

Macroeconomic Context

1964 was the strongest year of the post-war boom on most metrics. Real GDP grew 5.8%, CPI inflation stayed at 1.3%, and unemployment fell to 5.0% — the lowest reading since the Korean War. The Revenue Act of 1964, the Kennedy-Johnson tax cut, lowered the top marginal rate from 91% to 70% and the corporate rate from 52% to 48%, providing a substantial fiscal stimulus. President Johnson signed the Civil Rights Act in July and announced the Great Society agenda in May, setting the stage for Medicare, Medicaid, and the federal urban-renewal expansion that would be passed in 1965. The Tonkin Gulf Resolution in August provided the legal framework for what would become the Vietnam War. The federal funds rate averaged around 3.5%; the Fed under Chairman Martin was beginning to tighten gently to head off a feared overheating.

The Mortgage & Credit Market

30-year fixed mortgage rates remained in the 5.6–5.9% range, with new FHA and VA loans the dominant first-time-buyer products. Conventional loans typically required 25% down. The system was working: S&Ls were funding long-duration mortgages with deposits paying around 4%, earning a stable 1.5% net interest margin, and originations were rising in line with household formation. There was no securitization to speak of — the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) would not be created until 1968, and the first agency MBS would not be issued until 1970. Most mortgages were originated, serviced, and held to maturity by the same institution.

Cycle Position

Builders sold 565,000 new homes in 1964 — modest growth from 1963 — as the post-war suburban expansion continued at a steady pace. The median new home cost $18,900, up 5% YoY. The cycle was healthy: rates were stable, demand was rising with the early baby-boom cohort approaching first-time-buyer age, and inventory was growing into demand without the speculative excess that would mark later cycles. The 1964 print would be exceeded the next year, with the buildout continuing through 1972 before the inflation shocks of the 1970s arrived.

The Year in Long View

New-home sales of 565K were 44% of the 2005 record (1,283K) and 185% of the absolute series low (306K in 2011). The median new-home price of $18,900 translates to roughly $191,561 in 2024 dollars — a stark reminder of how much real-terms housing costs have escalated in six decades, even before factoring in lot sizes, square footage, or amenity creep. Mortgage rates pre-1971 are not part of the modern Freddie Mac PMMS series. Historical FHA and VA records put the prevailing 30-year fixed rate around 5.5–6.0% in the early 1960s, climbing toward 7–8% by 1971 — modest by every standard set after the 1973 oil shock and still well below the 2024 reading of 6.84%. Year-over-year, new-home sales rose 0.9%.

Sources & Methodology

The 1964 figures on this page come from three federal data sources: the U.S. Census Bureau Survey of Construction (annual new single-family home sales), the National Association of Realtors Existing Home Sales report (annual existing-home transactions and median sale prices), and the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (annual average 30-year fixed mortgage rate). Recession bands are drawn from the National Bureau of Economic Research Business Cycle Dating Committee. Inflation adjustments use the Bureau of Labor Statistics' CPI-U series, and price-to-income ratios reference the Census Bureau's annual median U.S. household income table. Existing-home sales for years before 1968 are not part of the modern NAR series; the Almanac displays Census Bureau new-home data only for those years. Mortgage rates for years before 1971 are not part of the Freddie Mac PMMS series; approximate values for the 1960s are sourced from FHA and VA loan documentation and are noted only where contextually useful.